I am a researcher in epidemiology, global health and health data science, with passion in global health 'storytelling'. I further have interest in leveraing 'big' data for evaluation of complex interventions in public health. Few of my projects have been described in the section below. For more see my Google Scholar, GitHub & Twitter (@shivarajmisra).


Life course epidemiology (aging research)

As part of my doctoral work, I examined the association between several reproductive markers of aging (e.g. age at menarche, age at menopause, reproductive lifespan) in the context of cardiovascular health. In work with my doctoral advisers Prof. Gita D. Mishra, Dr. Michael Waller, Dr. Hsin-Fang Chung, we explored the added predictive value of a composite index of oestrogen exposure against several other indices, describing the influence of length of oestorgen exposure on stroke risk at midlife:

This work is derived from our earlier work where we proposed several algorithmic definitions of oestrogen exposure derived using a comprehensive systematic review of the existing literature:


Survival analysis with cardiovascular events and mortality

During my master’s program (2016-2017) and Ph.D. program (2017-2020), I have developed substantial expertise in longitudinal data analysis in the context of time-to-event data (e.g., survival analysis), with application in cardiovascular events and mortality. These tasks required a substantial experience in data management and advanced programming experience in SAS.


Heterogeneity in disease occurrence across populations

Building cutting-edge statistical methods, with colleagues we want to further query into a classical problem in epidemiology, "why poor get sick, and why sick gets poor’? This urged us to go beyond the traditional drivers of ill-health and explore the 'causes of causes' using life-course perspective. This project has three objectives:

  • To investigate the burden of non-communicable diseases and its risk factors at entire-population level, using the nationally representative data globally.
  • To explore geographic and socio-economic disparities in burden of non-communicable disease and their risk factors.
  • To pool data from local and global sources to examine i) trends in NCDs and risk factors, and ii) health service utilization.
  • Project description in ResearchGate website.

With colleagues, we used both simple as well as sophisticated statistical techniques to explore geographical variations in disease and risk factors, accompanied by geographical mapping and visualization. Further we compared both single-level and multi-level modelling technique to measures the differences between individual level and population level factors in public health.

  • Paper in Journal of Human Hypertension (2019 Aug;33(8):613-25): link
  • Paper in Journal of Hypertension (2018 Aug 1;36(8):1680-8): link

Intervention modelling to measure potential health gains

Reducing health disparities has become a major public health agenda in Australia and globally. However, policy options on how best to achieve this goal is not clearly understood. Simulation modelling using varying sources of data (e.g., registries, panel data study) has the potential to bridge this gap; this approach can produce unique evidence on the evidence base around the poverty reducing impact of cross-sectoral interventions affecting cardiovascular health. Therefore, exploring the effectiveness of several ‘what if’ counterfactual scenarios can guide future implementation of these policies.

  • Paper being drafted (citation: Mishra SR et al. Would interventions to reduce cold housing reduce health inequalities? A modelling study. Population Intervention Unit, Center for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Melbourne.2022): using VIVARIUM framework
  • Methodological illustration by Prof T. Blakey
  • Modelling framework with Python code
  • My recent paper using simulation modelling: Mishra SR, Wilson T,... Blakely T. The total health gains and cost savings of eradicating cold housing in Australia. Social Science & Medicine. 2023 May 5:115954 code

Community-based interventions in public health

Community based interventions have huge potential to contribute to public health, in low resource setting. With colleagues, at COBIN study, we measured the effectiveness of community-based strategies for CVD risk factors management in Nepal. The study showed that the intervention effectively reduced the systolic blood pressure by 4.90 mm Hg (2.00 to 7.78) among hypertensive patients from a resource-limited setting in Nepal. The study has provided important insights for development of community-based strategies for CVD risk factors management in South Asia.

  • Paper in Lancet Global Health (2018 Jan 1;6(1):e66-73): link
  • Paper in JAMA Network Open (2021 Feb 1;4(2):e2035799): link
  • A commentary in our: paper
  • Training material and resources for diabetes management at community level: link

Freelance writing in health (e.g. Lancet journals)

For last seven years, I have worked as a freelance writer for several newspapers and journals including Lancet family of journals. Additionally, I have invited editorial roles in Journal of Human Hypertension (2017-) and PloS Global Public Health.

  • Paper in Kathmandu Post (2015): link
  • Paper in Lancet (2016;10029(387):1709-10): link
  • Paper in Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology (2016 Dec;4(12):979-80): link
  • Paper in Lancet Infectious Disease (2018 Mar 1;18(3):260): link
  • Paper in WHO Bulletin (2017 Feb 1; 95(2): 90–91): link
  • Paper in Nature (2015 Aug;524(7563):35): link
  • Other papers in Lancet Journals (2015-2022): link

More recently, I worked in two book chapters with colleagues, exploring nexus of poverty and governance in humanitarian context.

  • Chapter Health and the Nepal Earthquakes: Ways Forward (pp. 63-74.2018.Palgrave Macmillan): In.”Evolving Narratives of Hazard and Risk”. Edited by Louise Bracken, Hanna A. Ruszczyk, Tom Robinson (Durham University)
  • Chapter "Covid-19 in Nepal and the Existential Predicaments of Poverty and Governance": In."COVID19 in South Asia” by Dinsha Mistree (Standford University) and Sumit Ganguly (Indiana University) (In-Press).